Ukraine poised to strike Kerch Bridge amid escalating conflict

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine escalated significantly after Russia's annexation of Crimea in February 2014, with the status of Crimea remaining a contentious issue in peace negotiations. General Ben Hodges, a former US military leader, has expressed strong support for Ukraine's efforts to reclaim Crimea, predicting that Ukraine will target the Kerch Bridge, which serves as Russia's only land connection to the region. This bridge has been crucial for Russian military logistics since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine began in February 2022. The Kerch Bridge has faced numerous attacks from Ukrainian forces, including naval drones and missile strikes, which have severely impacted Russian military operations in Crimea. In response, Russia has implemented extensive defensive measures to protect the bridge, including sinking ships nearby to safeguard its structure. Hodges emphasized that any successful operation to destroy the bridge would require a well-coordinated effort involving significant explosives and multiple phases. Despite the strategic importance of the bridge, some analysts suggest that Ukraine may delay an operation against it to allow for a potential Russian evacuation. The timing of such an operation could hinge on public sentiment in Crimea regarding a return to Ukrainian control, which could complicate Russia's military logistics if a mass exodus occurs. In September 2022, a controversial referendum in Crimea resulted in a majority vote favoring annexation by Russia, further complicating the situation. The ongoing conflict and military strategies on both sides continue to evolve, with the fate of Crimea remaining a pivotal issue in the broader war.