Jun 21, 2024, 9:00 AM
Jun 17, 2024, 2:14 PM

Polls suggest independents less likely to support Trump after guilty verdict

Subjective
Highlights
  • Recent polls indicate that independent voters are more hesitant to support Trump in the upcoming election post a criminal conviction.
  • Experts predict that this shift in independent voter sentiment could lead to potential defeats for Trump in battleground states.
  • Trump and Biden are currently in a close race in most election polls.
Story

A recent survey showed that a significant number of independent voters are less likely to support Trump in November following his criminal conviction. Polling data suggests that Trump could face defeats in battleground states, with 7% of Republicans and 21% of independents indicating they are less likely to vote for him due to his conviction. MSNBC's Joe Scarborough highlighted the impact of these numbers on key states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Scarborough criticized those who believe Trump's conviction was orchestrated by President Biden's Department of Justice, calling them ill-informed. Despite Trump's slight lead over Biden in national polls, some surveys indicate his lead is slipping post-conviction. However, polls show that the conviction is a low priority for most voters in deciding whom to support in the election. In a close race, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. could influence the outcome, with polls showing varying results depending on his inclusion. Hispanic voters and young voters are key demographics where support for Kennedy Jr. is stronger. Overall, the election remains highly competitive, with Trump leading in some battleground states but facing challenges in others. Voter interest in the election is at a 20-year low, according to an NBC poll.

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