Cubs rookie Michael Busch struggles at the plate in 2023

As the 2023 MLB season nears its conclusion, Michael Busch, a rookie first baseman for the Cubs, has shown some power but struggles with his overall batting average. Despite accumulating 1.9 Fangraphs WAR and 2.6 Baseball Reference WAR, deeper analysis of his batted ball data reveals he is performing closer to a .200 hitter. His average fly ball exit speed is notably high at 93.7 mph, indicating potential for power, yet his ground ball performance is weak, with an average exit speed of only 82.9 mph. Busch's performance has regressed significantly since mid-season, batting just .192 with a .270 on-base percentage and .317 slugging percentage. This decline suggests that his earlier success may have been misleading, as the true talent level of his offensive capabilities appears to be much lower than initially perceived. His ability to hit liners has been impressive, but his overall contact quality has suffered due to an extreme grounder-pulling tendency and a focus on launch angle. Originally a highly regarded prospect in the Dodgers' system, Busch has transitioned to first base, where he is considered an average defender. While he has the potential to contribute to a major league team, his current offensive output raises concerns about his suitability as a starting first baseman for a contending team. Ultimately, Busch may be better utilized as a part-time player who can fill various roles on the field, rather than as an everyday starter. His future with the Cubs will depend on his ability to improve his offensive consistency and adapt his approach at the plate.