Point Swing Toward GOP’s Sam Brown

The U.S. Senate race in Nevada is seeing a dramatic change as the elections draw nearer. Recent polling from Rasmussen, published on October 14, 2024, surveyed 748 likely voters and found incumbent Democrat Jacky Rosen leading GOP candidate Sam Brown by a slim margin of 47% to 44%. This marked a notable shift, as Rosen has lost three percentage points since September while Brown gained four, creating a seven-point swing within a month. In September, Rosen had a more comfortable lead of 50% to 40% over Brown. Among male voters, Brown has a slight edge with 47% compared to Rosen's 45%, while women voters appear to favor Rosen with 49% supporting her against Brown's 42%. The upcoming debate between the two candidates could have significant implications for the final stretch of the campaign as each candidate aims to solidify their support base and attract undecided voters. The poll also explored presidential voting intentions in Nevada, indicating that 4% of respondents are either undecided or leaning towards third-party candidates. Additionally, it highlighted strong male support for Donald Trump, who leads Vice President Kamala Harris by 51% to 46% among male respondents, although they are nearly even among female voters. As the election draws closer, the landscape in Nevada is shifting, prompting both candidates to reassess their strategies and messages. With this information, analysts and voters alike will need to consider how the candidates' performances in the upcoming debate may further influence public opinion and voter turnout in the state.