GOP Senate candidates struggle in polls ahead of Election Day
- Republican Senate candidates are trailing their Democratic rivals and former President Trump in key swing states ahead of the 2024 election.
- Tim Sheehy is the only GOP candidate consistently leading in Montana, while other candidates in states like Ohio, Nevada, Arizona, and Michigan are underperforming compared to Trump.
- The GOP's ability to capture the Senate majority is uncertain, with critical races determining the outcome.
As the 2024 election approaches, many Republican Senate candidates are struggling in polls, particularly in swing states where they are trailing both their Democratic opponents and former President Donald Trump. In Montana, Tim Sheehy is the only GOP candidate consistently leading, with a 5.2-point advantage over incumbent Jon Tester. However, the GOP faces challenges in other states, including Ohio, Nevada, Arizona, and Michigan, where candidates are underperforming compared to Trump’s polling numbers. In Ohio, Sherrod Brown leads Republican Bernie Moreno by 3.6 points, despite Trump having a 9-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris. Similarly, in Nevada, Sam Brown is behind Jacky Rosen by 10.7 points, while Trump is in a tight race with Harris. The situation is mirrored in Arizona, where Kari Lake trails Ruben Gallego by 4.5 points, despite Trump’s slight lead in the state. In Michigan, former Rep. Mike Rogers is also behind, with a 5-point deficit against Elissa Slotkin. Meanwhile, in Wisconsin, Eric Hovde is trailing Tammy Baldwin by 5.2 points, while Trump is only 1.2 points behind Harris. The GOP's performance varies significantly across states, with some candidates like Larry Hogan in Maryland outperforming Trump, leading by 3.8 points. Overall, the Republican Party's prospects for capturing the Senate majority hinge on key races, particularly in Montana, while the broader electoral landscape remains uncertain as candidates struggle to match Trump’s popularity in their respective states.