EU Prepares for Autumn Confrontations with Budapest

Tensions between the European Union and Hungary are escalating as EU foreign and defense ministers convene in Brussels instead of Budapest on August 29. This decision reflects growing dissatisfaction with Hungary's approach, which has been characterized as 'troll diplomacy' by analysts. The EU's response to Hungary's actions, including its handling of Russian sanctions and working visas for Russian and Belarusian citizens, indicates a shift in the bloc's attitude towards Budapest. Hungary's stance has been met with criticism from other member states concerned about internal security risks. The European Commission recently rejected Hungary and Slovakia's request for consultations regarding oil sanctions imposed by Ukraine on Russian producer Lukoil, further straining relations. As Hungary continues to assert its position, it is likely that future informal meetings under its presidency will see downgraded attendance, with lower-ranking officials attending instead of ministers. This reflects a broader trend of increasing isolation for Hungary within the EU. The potential for a fifteenth round of sanctions against Russia and Belarus remains uncertain, as EU diplomats express skepticism about the Commission's willingness to initiate new proposals. However, the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the possibility of escalated Russian attacks could compel the EU to take action, despite the risks of political standoffs. As the EU prepares for an informal summit in November, Hungary's actions and the EU's response will be closely watched, particularly in light of the geopolitical dynamics involving Russia and the internal cohesion of the EU itself.