Sep 19, 2024, 9:17 PM
Sep 18, 2024, 12:00 AM

Trump faces landslide defeat from Harris in upcoming election

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Highlights
  • Thomas Miller, a data scientist, predicts a landslide victory for Kamala Harris based on a model analyzing 16 presidential elections.
  • Recent polling shows Harris leading Trump in key swing states, with significant support on abortion issues.
  • The shifting dynamics and endorsements, such as from Taylor Swift, suggest growing momentum for Harris as the election approaches.
Story

A data scientist from Northwestern University, Thomas Miller, has predicted a significant victory for Kamala Harris in the upcoming presidential election, utilizing a model based on historical election data. His analysis indicates that Harris could secure 55% of the popular vote, leading to a strong advantage in the Electoral College. This prediction comes as recent polling data from Quinnipiac University shows Harris leading Trump in crucial swing states, including Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. In Pennsylvania, Harris holds a six-point lead, while in Michigan, she is ahead by five points. Wisconsin shows a tighter race, with Harris leading by just one percentage point. These states are critical for both candidates, as losing them could jeopardize their chances of winning the presidency. The polls reveal that while Trump is perceived as a better leader on economic and immigration issues, Harris is favored on abortion rights, with significant margins in all three states. The political landscape has shifted since June, when Trump was leading in some polls. Harris's support has grown, particularly after receiving a high-profile endorsement from singer Taylor Swift, which may influence younger voters. With less than eight weeks until the election, the momentum appears to be shifting in favor of Harris, raising concerns for Trump's campaign. As the election approaches, the dynamics in these swing states will be crucial. The outcome in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin could determine the overall election result, making the current polling data particularly significant for both candidates as they strategize their final campaign efforts.

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