Sep 9, 2024, 4:00 PM
Sep 9, 2024, 4:00 PM

70% of world faces extreme weather in next 20 years

Provocative
Highlights
  • Scientists in Norway predict that nearly 5.6 billion people will experience significant changes in weather patterns over the next 20 years due to climate change.
  • Even with aggressive emission cuts, over 1.5 billion people will still face extreme weather events like unbearable heat and flash floods.
  • The report highlights the urgent need for emission reductions to mitigate the rapid changes in weather conditions that could overwhelm human and ecological adaptability.
Story

A recent report from the CICERO Center for International Climate Research in Oslo reveals alarming predictions regarding extreme weather events over the next 20 years. The study estimates that approximately 70% of the global population, or 5.6 billion people, will experience significant changes in weather patterns, including increased rainfall and extreme temperatures, unless carbon emissions are drastically reduced. The researchers utilized four large climate simulations to assess potential shifts in peak rainfall and temperature. The report indicates that even in a scenario where emissions are cut in line with the Paris Agreement, more than 1.5 billion people will still be vulnerable to severe weather events such as heatwaves and flash floods. This highlights the long-lasting effects of climate change, as the changes already set in motion will continue to impact weather conditions for years to come. Particularly concerning is the vulnerability of low-income countries, which are expected to face the most rapid changes due to their inadequate infrastructure. The report emphasizes that society is especially at risk when multiple extreme weather events occur simultaneously, which could lead to significant disruptions in agriculture, health, and overall stability. The researchers stress the importance of reducing air pollution for public health, but caution that such efforts may inadvertently lead to increased local temperatures and more intense rainy seasons. The findings underscore the urgent need for global action to mitigate climate change and protect vulnerable populations from its devastating effects.

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