Nate Silver endorses Kamala Harris during podcast discussion

During a podcast episode of 'Risky Business' on Wednesday, polling expert Nate Silver announced his support for Kamala Harris as the Democratic candidate for president. He emphasized his intention to remain nonpartisan for his audience while expressing his voting preference. Silver's election model indicated that Harris currently holds 49% of the vote in polls, but she needs to reach 51% to secure a win, given her potential disadvantage in the Electoral College. Despite leading Trump by two points in national polling averages, Silver's model assigned Harris a 38% chance of winning the Electoral College. He described the race as a 50-50 toss-up following the recent ABC News Presidential Debate. Silver noted that the forecast did not account for any immediate effects from the debate due to the lack of post-debate polling that met his standards. He pointed out that while Harris performed well in a debate, the questions posed were favorable to her, and he questioned her ability to shift public opinion if she could not improve her polling numbers. Silver suggested that Harris should engage in more interviews, particularly with less mainstream media outlets, to connect with undecided voters and those considering third-party options. In his analysis, Silver highlighted the importance of reaching out to marginal constituencies, as only about 6% of voters remain undecided. He concluded that if Harris fails to make a significant impact in the polls, it may indicate a lack of resonance with her campaign message among the electorate.