Paris bar predicts America’s election outcomes accurately
- Polls indicate a tight presidential race in the US, with Harris leading Trump as of October 30, 2024.
- At Harry's Bar in Paris, American citizens have traditionally voted in elections, contributing to its reputation as an election bellwether.
- The results reflect not only the expatriates' engagement in the political process but also the ongoing trends in American public opinion.
With the US election just a week away, polls show a rapidly narrowing race. Kamala Harris maintains a lead over Donald Trump, though it has diminished by 11 percentage points within a week. This polling data stems from a unique tradition at Harry's Bar in Paris, where Americans are invited to vote in presidential elections. Since the custom began a century ago with Calvin Coolidge's election, expatriates have cast their votes at this iconic locale, making it a bellwether for presidential elections. Recent votes recorded at the bar show Harris's lead at 302 to 255 against Trump, highlighting the bar's role as a historical election indicator and the connection it fosters among American voters abroad. As the election approaches, the involvement of expatriates may influence perceptions of the race.