Ecuador battles unprecedented drug violence ahead of crucial election

Ecuador is grappling with an alarming escalation of drug-related violence, marked by high homicide rates that are among the worst in Latin America. In the early months of 2025, more than 700 homicides were reported in both January and February, leading the government to declare a state of emergency in seven provinces, including the capital, Quito. This severe measure was introduced as the nation prepared for a closely contested presidential election, pitting incumbent Daniel Noboa against opposition candidate Luisa González. Noboa has been in office since November 2023 and has focused extensively on combating organized crime and drug trafficking. The election, viewed as a pivotal moment for Ecuador, is further complicated by deep-seated political divisions and the pressing need for stability. The economic situation in the country has stalled, which limits resources available to address the dramatic rise in crime. The state of emergency, expected to last for 60 days, comes amid fears that gang violence will further affect voter turnout and decision-making during this critical vote. Both candidates face significant scrutiny regarding their strategies to address crime, a primary concern for voters. Daniel Noboa, aligned with U.S. interests, has offered an ‘iron fist’ policy approach, calling for international cooperation to tackle drug cartels linked to violence. A reelection would secure continuity in U.S.-Ecuador relations, benefitting broader national security agendas. Conversely, Luisa González, associated with former president Rafael Correa, advocates for increased social spending to address the socioeconomic roots of crime while maintaining military presence against gangs. This suggests a potential shift to left-leaning policies if she wins. As the election date approached, fears about public safety and how it might affect electoral dynamics loomed large. The state of emergency instituted by Noboa aims to ensure peace and order, yet many citizens are left wondering whether these extraordinary measures can genuinely restore security. The outcome of the election will not only shape Ecuador's immediate future but will likely influence its relations with international partners, particularly concerning drug enforcement and economic stability.