Analyst discusses Ukraine and Gaza conflicts

As Russia continues to supply its forces in Ukraine, understanding the sentiments of the Russian populace regarding the military operation remains challenging. The authoritarian nature of the state complicates the ability to gauge public opinion, leaving outsiders uncertain about the beliefs and attitudes of many Russians towards the ongoing conflict. The Ukrainian invasion has predominantly involved conscript forces, which differ significantly from the professional military units that Russia has deployed. Analysts are questioning potential pathways to end the conflict, with some suggesting that a broader escalation could occur if Hezbollah, a powerful militant group based in Lebanon, were to launch an all-out attack on Israel. Such a scenario would likely lead to a more devastating war, posing significant challenges for Israel and potentially inciting widespread unpopularity. In the context of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the dynamics are further complicated by the far-right factions within Israeli politics that exhibit hostility towards the Palestinian Authority. This situation raises concerns about the governance of Gaza, which currently lacks a stable government. The pressing question remains whether the people of Gaza have a clear preference for governance, although it is evident that their primary desire is for the ongoing fighting to cease. Overall, the complexities of both the Russian military involvement in Ukraine and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict highlight the intricate interplay of military strategy, public sentiment, and political dynamics in authoritarian regimes and conflict zones.