Apr 13, 2025, 12:00 AM
Apr 13, 2025, 12:00 AM

Asteroid Apophis approaches Earth in 2029, offering rare scientific opportunity

Highlights
  • Asteroid 99942 Apophis is projected to come within 20,000 miles of Earth on April 13, 2029.
  • Scientists are organizing extensive radar observations to study its proximity and behaviors.
  • This close encounter is considered a once-in-a-thousand-year scientific opportunity for research.
Story

On April 13, 2029, the asteroid 99942 Apophis, measuring 1,100 feet (340 meters) wide, is set to approach Earth at a distance of 20,000 miles (32,000 kilometers), closer than geosynchronous satellites. This event, occurring on a Friday, is anticipated to be visible to an estimated two billion people across regions including western Europe and western Africa. In preparation for this exceptionally rare encounter, scientists convened at the Apophis T-4 Years Workshop held in Tokyo, Japan, where they discussed strategic radar observations to study the asteroid's behaviors before, during, and after its close pass. The significance of Apophis' approach has been emphasized as a once-in-a-thousand-years opportunity for scientific exploration. Initially discovered in 2004, Apophis was thought to pose potential threats of impact in 2029, 2036, or 2068. However, ongoing refinements to its orbit have indicated that we are currently safe from a direct collision. Nevertheless, the gravitational influence of Earth during its flyby could slightly alter its trajectory, leading to future risks. There’s also concern that interactions with other space objects might affect its path. Understanding Apophis is crucial not only for tracking this specific asteroid but also for studying asteroid behaviors in general, a topic of growing interest in astrophysics and planetary defense. In line with these goals, the European Space Agency is preparing the Rapid Apophis Mission for SEcurity and Safety (RAMSES), scheduled to launch in spring 2028. This mission aims to gather data on how Apophis is influenced by Earth's gravity and will help to investigate changes to its physical structure. The event promises unprecedented opportunities for researchers around the globe and presents a scenario that might not recur for thousands of years. As scientists prepare to utilize this close flyby for educational and analytical purposes, the sentiment within the community is one of excitement and caution, recognizing the dual aspects of discovery and the potential hazards posed by such celestial bodies.

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