Britain faces relentless floods as climate change worsens
- The Heritage Foundation's report references data from 1900 to 1960 showing hurricanes occurred before the rise of fossil fuel use.
- The study emphasizes the influence of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation over global temperatures concerning hurricane occurrence.
- The conclusion suggests that human activities do not correlate with trends in hurricane frequency or intensity.
In October, a report from the Heritage Foundation, authored by Joe D'Aleo and Kevin Dayaratna, asserted that climate change is not responsible for the increasing severity of hurricanes. The report reviewed historical data showing that from 1900 to 1960, 112 hurricanes devastated the continental U.S. prior to the extensive burning of fossil fuels. It noted that although U.S. average high temperatures have risen since the 1950s in correlation with greenhouse gas emissions, this increase has not resulted in a rise in the number or intensity of hurricanes. The report explains that natural phenomena, specifically the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, are better indicators of hurricane trends than human-induced climate change. Statistical analysis revealed a clear correlation between ocean temperature fluctuations and cyclone activity, which was particularly evident in a study linking El Niño years to lower hurricane landfall rates in the U.S. which had significantly fewer hurricanes during these years. The researchers also highlighted that public perception often misconstrues the economic costs of hurricanes as evidence of increasing severity; however, when adjusting for inflation, wealth growth, and population increase, the damage attributed to these storms doesn't correlate directly to their frequency or intensity. As coastal populations grow and cities expand, the impact of hurricanes may appear more severe than in previous decades simply due to increased infrastructure and economic assets in harm's way. The continuing debate surrounding climate change and its implications on hurricane activity continues to capture public and scientific interest, with many experts calling for a clearer understanding of the underlying factors contributing to hurricane dynamics. Simultaneously, the report represents a call to focus on tangible causes and effects rather than attributing all weather phenomena to climate change.