Sudan’s army claims first defection of senior RSF commander

In Sudan, a significant shift occurred as a commander from the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) reportedly defected to the army on October 20, 2024. Abuagla Keikal, a former army officer and senior RSF commander in El Gezira state, led a small group of troops during his defection. This represents the first notable defection by a high-ranking RSF figure since the conflict began over 18 months ago. The defection comes against the backdrop of ongoing clashes as the army seeks to reclaim control from the RSF, which has established dominance in various regions during the battle for power. The conflict erupted in April 2023, fueled by tensions over military leadership and the transition to civilian governance following a coup in 2021. Amidst this turmoil, millions have faced displacement and dire humanitarian conditions, with over 10 million individuals affected. The United Nations has characterized this situation as one of the worst humanitarian crises currently, prompted by fierce fighting between the military and RSF factions. Keikal’s decision to defect was attributed to dissatisfaction with the RSF's “destructive agenda,” according to the army's statement. The military has also reported recent territorial gains in Khartoum and the southeastern state of Sennar, which suggests a shift in power dynamics. Additionally, they have welcomed any RSF fighters wishing to join their ranks, indicating a potential decline in RSF morale amid the ongoing conflict. The international community remains anxious as both sides continue to receive external military support, complicating efforts to establish stability and humanitarian relief in the region. This event could influence further defections and a gradual shift in allegiances in the ongoing conflict in Sudan.