Trump's Second Term Could Upset Taiwan Relations

In a recent statement, former President Donald Trump raised concerns regarding the United States' commitment to Taiwan's defense, echoing sentiments from his first term when he hinted at a potential reevaluation of the One-China Policy. This policy recognizes Beijing as the sole legitimate government of China and acknowledges its claim over Taiwan. Trump's remarks come at a critical time, as tensions between Taiwan and China escalate, with President Xi Jinping ordering military readiness for a potential takeover by 2027. Analysts warn that a return to the White House for Trump could destabilize not only Taiwan but also other allied nations. Hashmi, a postdoctoral fellow at the Taiwan-Asia Exchange Foundation, emphasized that failing to defend Taiwan would violate the Taiwan Relations Act and betray American democratic values. The Taiwan issue is poised to be a significant foreign policy challenge in the upcoming U.S. elections, particularly as China's military activities near Taiwan intensify. While Trump’s comments are not unprecedented, they signal a potentially transactional approach to Taiwan's defense, prompting Taipei to seek partnerships beyond the U.S. and enhance its own military capabilities. The House of Representatives recently approved substantial military financing for Taiwan, indicating ongoing bipartisan support for the island's defense against Chinese aggression. Experts suggest that Trump's rhetoric could lead to an unpredictable U.S.-Taiwan policy landscape. Although bipartisan backing for Taiwan exists, it may not be enough to ensure its security amid rising threats from China. Taiwan remains vigilant, preparing for the implications of a possible Trump presidency.