Sheikh Hasina"s influence on India-Bangladesh relations in 2023

Former Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's abrupt departure from her country and arrival at a military base near Delhi has created diplomatic challenges for India. Her ongoing presence complicates India's efforts to establish a strong relationship with the interim government in Dhaka, which is crucial for India's border security, especially in the northeastern states. Analysts suggest that India must reassess its regional policy, as its long-standing support for Hasina's Awami League has led to a trust deficit with the opposition BNP, which has historical grievances against India. The BNP, led by Begum Khaleda Zia, has expressed frustration over India's perceived favoritism towards the Awami League, which has been in power since 2009. This has resulted in a lack of engagement with the BNP, despite their acknowledgment of India's significant influence in the region. The BNP leaders emphasize the need for a policy shift from India to foster better relations, especially given the growing economic and military power of India. Additionally, recent flooding in Bangladesh, exacerbated by heavy rains in the Indian state of Tripura, has further strained relations. The Indian external affairs ministry had to clarify that the floods were not caused by India, but the incident has contributed to the existing anger towards India. Despite these challenges, there is hope that Bangladesh's reliance on Indian goods and trade may provide India with some leverage to improve its diplomatic standing. In conclusion, the situation calls for India to navigate its foreign policy carefully, balancing its historical ties with the Awami League while also addressing the concerns of the BNP and the broader Bangladeshi populace.