Harris Gaining Ground in Swing States
- Harris is leading Trump in five states and closing the gap in swing states.
- Recent polls show Harris making significant progress in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Nevada.
- Trump still maintains a lead in one state according to the latest surveys.
Recent polling data indicates a significant shift in the 2024 presidential race, particularly in key battleground states. In Nevada, former President Donald Trump holds a narrow two-point lead over President Joe Biden, a decrease from a nine-point advantage reported in May. Meanwhile, in North Carolina, Vice President Kamala Harris has surged ahead, leading Trump by two points among likely voters and four points among registered voters, marking a notable turnaround from Trump's previous seven-point lead. In Pennsylvania, a Cook survey reveals Harris leading Trump by one point, with 49% to 48% support, reflecting a change from Trump's earlier three-point lead. The poll, conducted from July 26 to August 2, surveyed 2,867 likely voters and highlights a broader trend where Harris is gaining ground in several battleground states. A New York Times/Siena poll corroborates this, showing Harris ahead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while a Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll suggests she could also win in Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada. The Siena College survey, conducted from August 8 to 15, shows Harris making significant gains in traditionally Republican-leaning states like Arizona and North Carolina. Despite Trump leading Harris in Georgia and Nevada, the overall polling trend appears unfavorable for him, as Harris has regained support from non-white voters and younger demographics. As the race heats up, the electoral map remains competitive, with 111 electoral votes categorized as toss-ups.