Cincinnati Bakery's Cookie Poll Predicts Trump vs. Harris 2024 Election

A unique prediction method using cookies has emerged from Busken Bakery in Cincinnati, Ohio, which has accurately forecasted nine out of the last ten presidential elections since 1984. This cookie poll features cookies decorated with images of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, and the results are based on the sales of these cookies leading up to the election. The bakery's method has gained attention, especially as it contrasts with traditional polling methods that rely on voter surveys. The cookie poll has shown a significant trend, with Trump currently predicted to win Ohio, a state that holds 17 electoral votes in the upcoming 2024 election. This prediction comes despite Kamala Harris having a lead in conventional election polls and betting odds following the September 10 debate. The bakery's approach was inspired by similar dessert polls predicting Super Bowl outcomes, showcasing a creative twist on election forecasting. Historically, Ohio has been a bellwether state, accurately choosing the presidential winner from 1964 to 2016, until the streak was broken in 2020 when Trump won the state but lost the overall election. The bakery's predictions have sparked interest in the accuracy of unconventional polling methods, especially in a politically significant state like Ohio. In contrast, election forecaster Allan Lichtman has predicted that Harris will win the 2024 election based on his 13-key system, which has also been successful in forecasting outcomes. The divergence between cookie sales and traditional polling methods raises questions about the reliability of different prediction techniques in the political landscape.