Sep 17, 2024, 4:20 PM
Sep 17, 2024, 4:20 PM

Trump leads North Carolina polls after recent debate

Highlights
  • Three polls conducted in North Carolina after the recent presidential debate show Trump leading Harris.
  • The margins of error in these polls suggest a very competitive race, with both candidates closely matched.
  • Analysts expect a tight finish in North Carolina as the election date approaches.
Story

Recent polling in North Carolina shows Republican former President Donald Trump leading Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in three separate surveys conducted after last week’s presidential debate. The Quantus Polls indicated a 1.7% lead for Trump, while American Greatness/TIPP Insights and The Trafalgar Group reported leads of 48.9%-45.9% and 48.4%-46%, respectively. These polls suggest a competitive race, with margins of error ranging from nearly 3% to just under 4%, indicating that both candidates are closely matched. RealClear Politics and Project 538 also reflect a tight race, with Trump ahead by 0.4% in both analyses. North Carolina is a critical battleground state, holding 16 electoral votes, and is one of seven states deemed pivotal for the upcoming election. The significance of this state is underscored by the recent visits from Harris and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, as well as Trump’s running mate, U.S. Senator J.D. Historically, North Carolina has leaned Republican in recent elections, with Trump winning the state in both 2016 and 2020 against Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden, respectively. The narrow margins in those elections highlight the competitive nature of the state, which has only been carried by Democrats twice since 1964. As the election approaches, analysts anticipate a close finish, with only 49 days remaining until November 5. The polling data indicates that both candidates are within striking distance of each other, making North Carolina a key focus for both campaigns as they seek to secure vital electoral votes.

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