Rising violence puts Chinese investments in South and Central Asia at risk

In recent months, the security of Chinese nationals working on development projects has come under significant threat in South and Central Asia, particularly in Pakistan and Tajikistan. A notable incident occurred when a Chinese worker was killed in Tajikistan, marking the first such fatality in the country. This attack raised concerns regarding the safety of Chinese investments, as Beijing has heavily invested in development projects in both nations as part of its Belt and Road Initiative. The growing militancy among extremist groups, including the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA), has been identified as a critical factor contributing to the increased violence against Chinese citizens. In Pakistan, the situation is exacerbated by the attacks targeting Chinese workers, such as a recent suicide bombing that resulted in the deaths of five Chinese nationals. In response to this wave of violence, Pakistan has taken measures to enhance the security of Chinese workers, including the formation of a special police force and the installation of hundreds of checkpoints around major projects. However, these precautions appear insufficient as the frequency of assaults continues to rise. Experts have pointed to lapses in Pakistani security and intelligence operations, particularly highlighting the evolving tactics of the BLA, which has increasingly employed methods similar to those used by extremist groups worldwide. Meanwhile, China remains undeterred in its investment efforts despite the heightened risks. Still, it has acknowledged the need for enhanced security measures in its overseas projects. As a response to the prevailing threat, China plans to send troops to Pakistan for a joint counterterrorism military exercise, marking the first such exercise in five years. Chinese authorities emphasize their commitment to ensuring the safety of their workers while combating rising violence in the region. In Tajikistan, the ramifications of the recent attack are significant. Experts suggest that instead of deterring China's investments, the incident may prompt a stronger involvement of Chinese authorities in regional security matters. This includes bolstering the Tajik military and law enforcement to better protect Chinese citizens and interests. The situation illustrates the complex interplay between security and foreign investment in areas plagued by insurgency and violence, further complicating China's ambitious regional development agenda.