Japan’s ruling party may struggle in Sunday’s vote, but its decades of dominance won’t end
- The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is currently dealing with corruption scandals and a decline in public support for the government of new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba.
- Ishiba called for elections shortly after taking office on October 1, 2024, in an attempt to consolidate power amid rising voter discontent.
- Despite challenges, the LDP is projected to remain in power due to its historical dominance and strong organizational support across various demographics.
Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) faces significant challenges amidst declining support for the new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s government, marked by corruption scandals. Since taking power on October 1, 2024, Ishiba called for parliamentary elections to reinforce his position as a reformer. The elections represent a critical moment for the LDP, which has maintained a strong grip on Japanese politics since 1955, dominating a fragmented opposition that has struggled to pose a serious threat. Despite potential setbacks for Ishiba, the LDP is expected to retain power, thanks to its robust support network. Historically, the LDP has benefited from strong backing among older conservatives and has connections with various industry factions, although its influence is weaker in urban areas. Long-standing factional power struggles within the party contribute to frequent leadership changes, yet these shifts aim to rejuvenate its image and maintain its dominance. Ishiba's reform agenda is essential to addressing the voter discontent that has fueled calls for change, suggesting that while the LDP remains influential, the need for viable opposition persists in Japan's political landscape.