North Korea Achieves Nuclear Goals Amid Growing Concerns in 2024

North Korea has likely achieved its goals for producing weapons-grade nuclear material, as indicated by a recent assessment from the Royal United Services Institute (Rusi). Analysts estimate that the country possesses between 80 and 90 nuclear warheads and has sufficient fissile material to create an additional 80 to 200 short and medium-range warheads, along with 25 to 35 strategic thermonuclear warheads. This assessment is based on Kim Jong-un's public appearances at nuclear facilities, state media reports, and satellite imagery. The report highlights that North Korea is transitioning from an early-stage nuclear program to a more established one, similar to other nuclear states. The country is expected to continue producing more weapons-grade material than necessary for immediate defense, driven by a desire for national prestige and power. North Korea views its nuclear arsenal as essential for countering perceived threats from the United States and its allies. Despite being under UN Security Council sanctions prohibiting ballistic missile technology activities, North Korea has been actively developing its nuclear capabilities. The country has enshrined its right to nuclear defense in its constitution, making negotiations with the West challenging. Analysts suggest that for any dialogue to occur, the West must reconsider its preconditions regarding North Korea's denuclearization. Recent missile tests, including tactical ballistic missiles and modified cruise missiles, further demonstrate North Korea's commitment to enhancing its military capabilities. The ongoing developments indicate that North Korea is likely to continue expanding its nuclear arsenal in the coming years.