Jan 12, 2025, 12:00 AM
Jan 12, 2025, 12:00 AM

Is UnitedHealth's performance a sign of trouble for the S&P 500?

Highlights
  • Several major financial institutions, including Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo, are preparing to release their fourth-quarter earnings reports soon.
  • UnitedHealth is projected to achieve nearly 10% year-over-year earnings growth, despite potential uncertainties surrounding policy changes in the health insurance sector.
  • Overall, the forthcoming earnings reports will play a crucial role in shaping investor sentiment and expectations within the financial and health insurance markets.
Story

In the United States, major financial institutions are preparing to release their fourth-quarter earnings reports soon. Among those expected to provide performance updates are Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, and UnitedHealth. Goldman Sachs is anticipated to report substantial year-on-year earnings growth close to 50%. Although the firm beat earnings expectations in the past quarter, its stock has faced declines on three of the last four earnings days, raising concerns amongst investors. Wells Fargo has also shown resilience, reporting third-quarter figures that exceeded analyst expectations and reflecting a strong 43% rise in its stock this year. The company hopes to maintain this momentum, particularly given the scheduled conference call to discuss their results. In contrast, Citigroup has had a challenging period, as evidenced by a 5.1% slide following its last earnings release, which adds to the uncertainty surrounding its performance this time. Morgan Stanley is set to report earnings after positive outcomes in previous quarters where its divisions generated expected revenue. This time, analysts project nearly a doubling of net income, corroborated by the informative outlook from LSEG data. The bank's solid track record of beating earnings expectations about 79% of the time also provides a favorable view. The outlook remains optimistic for Morgan Stanley as it approaches its conference call. On the healthcare front, UnitedHealth, a significant player within the sector, will announce its earnings shortly. Experts estimate that its growth will reach nearly 10% compared to the previous year. There are underlying uncertainties regarding potential policy shifts under the incoming Trump administration, which could significantly impact the health insurance landscape. Historically, UnitedHealth's shares have averaged an increase of 0.8% on earnings announcement days, reflecting investor optimism despite a turbulent political backdrop.

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