2024 election: what happens if no candidate reaches 270 votes
- In a contingent election, the House of Representatives selects the President, with each state delegation casting one vote.
- Democrats need to maintain control of key battleground states and avoid ties in others to influence the outcome of a contingent election.
- The potential for a contingent election raises questions about how state delegations, particularly those leaning Republican, would vote despite the popular vote outcomes.
The 2024 election could lead to a contingent election if neither candidate achieves the required 270 electoral votes. In such a scenario, the House of Representatives would be responsible for electing the President, with each state delegation casting a single vote. This process could significantly impact the election outcome, especially given the current political landscape. Democrats face challenges in maintaining control over critical battleground states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Virginia, which are essential for their strategy. They must also avoid ties in states such as Nevada, Colorado, and Maine to ensure their influence in a contingent election. The dynamics of state delegations will be pivotal, as Republicans currently hold an advantage in many areas. The situation becomes more complex with states like North Carolina, where the House delegation leans Republican. If a candidate like Harris wins the state's electoral votes but the election goes to the House, the Republican majority could disregard the popular vote outcome. This scenario highlights the potential disconnect between the electoral process and the will of the voters. Ultimately, the possibility of a contingent election underscores the importance of state-level politics and the need for both parties to strategize effectively. The outcome could hinge on a few key races, making the 2024 election one of the most unpredictable in recent history.