Oct 8, 2024, 7:43 PM
Oct 8, 2024, 10:37 AM

Wisconsin Senate race shifts into toss

Provocative
Highlights
  • Recent polling indicates Tammy Baldwin leads Eric Hovde by just 2 percentage points, a decrease from her earlier 7-point lead.
  • Hovde has consolidated Republican support and gained ground among independent voters, significantly narrowing Baldwin's advantage.
  • The race has attracted national attention and funding, highlighting its importance in the broader context of the upcoming Senate elections.
Story

In Wisconsin, the Senate race has become increasingly competitive as Election Day approaches. Recent polling from the Cook Political Report indicates that Democrat Tammy Baldwin is leading Republican Eric Hovde by just 2 percentage points, a significant drop from her previous 7-point lead in August. Hovde's rise in the polls is attributed to his consolidation of Republican support following a crowded primary, bolstered by an endorsement from former President Donald Trump. Additionally, Hovde has gained traction among independent voters, narrowing Baldwin's lead within this crucial demographic. The political landscape in Wisconsin has drawn national attention, with President Joe Biden scheduled to campaign in the state, although Baldwin will not be present. The race has become one of the most expensive in the country, with both parties investing millions to secure the seat. Hovde's ability to self-fund his campaign has allowed him to spend approximately $20 million since its inception. As the race tightens, Wisconsin joins Ohio and Michigan in the toss-up category, indicating a potential shift in power dynamics in the Senate. Democrats currently hold a slim 51-49 majority, and with 34 Senate seats up for grabs in the upcoming election cycle, they must defend 23 seats compared to just 11 for Republicans. This situation places Democrats on the defensive as they strive to maintain their majority. The outcome of this race is critical, as Republicans need to flip only one Senate seat to regain control, especially if they also win the White House in 2024. The stakes are high, and both parties are mobilizing resources to influence the election's outcome.

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