German Aid to Ukraine Under Pressure

Berlin is grappling with increasing domestic pressure to reconsider its support for Ukraine as evidence mounts regarding Ukraine's involvement in the destruction of natural gas pipelines between Germany and Russia. Chancellor Olaf Scholz has been vocal in his commitment to continue aiding Ukraine, stating during a visit to Moldova that Germany will remain "Ukraine’s biggest national supporter in Europe." However, the ruling coalition, which includes Scholz's Social Democratic Party, the Greens, and the Free Democratic Party, is facing unpopularity and critical state elections in September, where calls for an end to military assistance are gaining traction. Recent reports indicate that the coalition plans to cut military aid to Ukraine significantly, reducing it to €4 billion in the draft budget for 2025. This decision is part of a broader effort to address a budget shortfall, with the government suggesting that Ukraine could rely on anticipated income from frozen Russian assets. Scholz emphasized the need to clarify technical issues surrounding the use of these assets to ensure continued support for Ukraine from the international community. The situation is further complicated by potential legal actions against Ukrainian officials linked to the Nord Stream pipeline explosions, which could embarrass the German government. Tensions with Poland have also escalated, as suspicions arise regarding its involvement in the pipeline sabotage, raising questions about Germany's unwavering support for Ukraine. Despite these challenges, Scholz maintains that Germany's military support for Ukraine will persist as long as necessary, balancing his role as a "peace chancellor" while addressing the realities of the ongoing conflict.