Sep 3, 2024, 12:00 AM
Sep 3, 2024, 12:00 AM

RFK Jr. stays on Wisconsin ballot, impacting Trump support

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Highlights
  • The Wisconsin Election Commission's decision to keep RFK Jr. on the ballot has raised concerns about partisanship.
  • Polling shows RFK Jr. could capture 8% of the vote, potentially affecting the dynamics between Trump and Harris.
  • Kennedy's presence on the ballot may provide a small advantage to Trump, with analysts estimating he could receive around 60% of Kennedy's votes.
Story

The Wisconsin Election Commission decided to keep Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. on the ballot, despite his request to withdraw, which has raised concerns about partisanship. Democratic Elections Commission Chair Ann Jacobs previously sought to remove all third-party candidates from the ballot, particularly targeting Jill Stein of the Green Party, whose past votes are believed to have influenced the 2016 election outcome in Wisconsin. Polling indicates that Kennedy could capture 8% of the vote, while Stein's support is significantly lower at 1%. The presence of third-party candidates in polling has shown to affect the dynamics between Trump and Harris, with Trump typically trailing Harris by 2 percentage points when these candidates are included. Analysts suggest that Kennedy's supporters may provide a small but crucial advantage to Trump, with estimates indicating he could receive around 60% of Kennedy's votes if they do not vote for Harris. Voter sentiments are mixed, with some former Kennedy supporters expressing frustration over his endorsement of Trump and shifting their allegiance to other parties, such as the Libertarian Party. Others, however, remain committed to voting for Kennedy, reflecting a broader discontent with the Democratic Party's direction. As the election approaches, the impact of RFK Jr.'s candidacy on the overall vote distribution in Wisconsin remains uncertain, but it is clear that his presence on the ballot could significantly influence the outcome in this critical battleground state.

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