Israel prepares to legitimize Hamas before October 7 attack

Prior to the October 7, 2023 terror attacks in Israel, the Israeli military leadership was contemplating a shift in its approach to Hamas governance in the Gaza Strip. This consideration stemmed from a secret internal document discussing a potential 'Program for Long-Term Truce,' which was put forward in June 2023 by Major General Ghassan Alian, head of COGAT (Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories). The document suggested that Israel would practically recognize Hamas's rule in Gaza, granting it a form of sovereignty while allowing the group to solidify its power and connections with other regional entities. The report unveiled significant insights into the Israeli military's misjudgment regarding Hamas's intentions. Despite their belief that the group sought long-term peace and stability, the findings indicated that Hamas had been deceiving them by projecting a façade of concern about escalating conflict. In reference to statements made in the document, it was highlighted that 'Hamas is deeply concerned about an escalation into another conflict at the current time,' illustrating their attempts at maintaining the status quo to avoid further violations. In July 2023, just three months before the violent escalation on October 7, Israel's government, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, allegedly agreed to this plan. During a cabinet meeting, members expressed interest in advancing a civilian arrangement with Hamas while upholding certain demands. The National Security Council also echoed this sentiment by publishing strategies aimed at nurturing long-term calm and exploring solutions for sustainable stability in the region. This approach was indicative of a broader goal to manage the tensions that had long fluctuated between Israel and Hamas. The subsequent October 7 attacks marked a critical turning point, thereby rendering the preceding discussions and preparations irrelevant in light of the violence that unfolded. Following these events, the IDF, Shin Bet, and Netanyahu's office remained silent concerning the details of these deliberations, leading to many questions about the effectiveness of prior assessments and the sudden shift in relations with Hamas. This situation has potentially long-lasting implications for how Israel navigates its relationships with territorial governance amid ongoing volatility in the region.