Visa stock shows long-term bullish signal after reaching record highs

In the United States, Visa Inc. stock experienced significant fluctuations throughout the year, culminating in an all-time high of $375.51 on June 11, 2025. Over this period, shares reflected an 18.4% increase year-over-year, showcasing the company’s sustained growth amid equity market changes. Following this peak, the stock has since entered a phase of consolidation, indicated by rangebound price action where it is currently trading near its 12-month moving average. Analysts observed that Visa has spent considerable time, over 80%, above this moving average during the last 20 months. Historical data compiled by Schaeffer’s Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White shows that such occurrences have historically preceded positive price movements for the stock. Specifically, in 18 of the past 20 years, when Visa stock traded close to its 12-month moving average, it was higher one month later 83% of the time, with an average gain of 8.2%. This trend suggests that a potential upward movement could drive the stock above $368 in the near future. Market behavior indicates that longer-term gains look favorable. The data reveals that, on average, Visa stock has demonstrated a 19.3% increase after three months in 89% of occurrences. This performance hints that stock prices could ascend to around $406 over this period, setting new records for the company. Additionally, options trading metrics suggest a strong sentiment in the market. Visa's 50-day put/call volume ratio, currently at 1.11, reflects a pessimistic outlook among traders, ranking in the higher percentiles compared to the past year. The Schaeffer’s put/call open interest ratio at 1.06 indicates that options traders have rarely displayed such a put-biased sentiment, with similar readings occurring infrequently over the last 12 months. Therefore, this scenario may present a promising opportunity for investors considering options, as lower volatility expectations may emerge in the near future with Visa’s Schaeffer's Volatility Index ranking in the low 12th percentile of its annual range.