Ukraine"s Long-Range Missiles: Impact on Russia Conflict
- Kyiv is urging Western allies to allow the use of long-range missile systems to strike deep into Russia, targeting military airfields and production facilities.
- The U.S. has permitted limited cross-border strikes but is cautious about escalating the conflict, with concerns from Russia about NATO involvement.
- Experts believe that while Ukraine may have some capability, the effectiveness of long-range strikes is uncertain, and the availability of missiles is limited.
In recent weeks, Ukraine has been advocating for the use of long-range missile systems supplied by Western allies, particularly the U.S. and the U.K., to target military installations deep within Russia. Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov highlighted that several Russian military airfields are within the range of advanced missile systems like the ATACMS and Storm Shadow, which can strike accurately over 300 miles. Experts suggest that targeting Russian production facilities for offensive weapons could significantly impact the conflict's dynamics. Despite the potential advantages, Washington has been cautious about allowing deep strikes into Russia, fearing escalation. The White House has permitted limited cross-border strikes but remains hesitant about broader actions that could be perceived as NATO's direct involvement in the war. Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed concerns that such actions would indicate a war between NATO countries and Russia. Some analysts argue that Ukraine's military may struggle to effectively utilize these advanced systems without assistance from Western allies. However, there are indications that Ukrainian forces have been successfully penetrating Russian air defenses. U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin has expressed skepticism about the decisive impact of any single capability, emphasizing Ukraine's existing capabilities to address targets beyond the range of supplied missiles. The limited availability of long-range missiles and the high costs associated with them have led to a cautious approach from Ukraine's allies. The Pentagon has indicated the need to conserve these resources for potential conflicts elsewhere, such as with China, which has contributed to the hesitance in providing Ukraine with substantial quantities of long-range missile systems.