Ukraine faces severe energy disruptions this winter amid ongoing war

Ukraine's electricity supply is facing significant challenges this winter due to ongoing attacks on its energy infrastructure by Russia, which have intensified recently. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned that the country risks severe disruptions, with a potential electricity supply shortfall of up to 6 gigawatts, nearly a third of the expected peak demand. This precarious situation is exacerbated by the fact that over two-thirds of Ukraine's pre-war power generation capacity is offline due to destruction or occupation by Russian forces. The IEA emphasizes the importance of bolstering the security of critical energy infrastructure and expediting repairs to mitigate the risks. Effective air defense is highlighted as the most crucial measure to ensure a minimum level of energy services during the winter months. The agency has outlined ten measures for Ukraine and its allies to implement, including increasing energy efficiency and enhancing the capacity to import electricity and natural gas from the European Union. In response to the energy crisis, the European Union plans to provide €160 million in aid, which includes humanitarian assistance for shelters and heaters, as well as funds for repair works and renewable energy initiatives. This financial support is partly sourced from frozen Russian assets, reflecting a commitment to hold Russia accountable for the destruction caused. Efforts are underway to repair Ukraine's energy infrastructure and connect its electricity grid to Europe, which is expected to cover over 25% of the country's energy needs this winter. These initiatives include the transfer of equipment, such as a thermal power plant from Lithuania, and the provision of solar panels to hospitals, demonstrating international solidarity in the face of adversity.