Oct 14, 2024, 5:35 PM
Oct 14, 2024, 5:35 PM

Pollster Predicts Troubling Future for Tory Hopefuls Jenrick and Badenoch

Provocative
Highlights
  • Sir John Curtice's analysis shows that a large number of Tory voters are unsure about Robert Jenrick and Kemi Badenoch as potential leaders.
  • The candidates have differing levels of support among Conservative and Reform voters, indicating a challenge in uniting the party.
  • The Conservative Party faces a significant task in regaining the trust of traditional business and financial sectors due to past leadership instability.
Story

In the UK, pollster Sir John Curtice revealed that a significant portion of Tory voters lack a clear opinion on potential party leaders Robert Jenrick and Kemi Badenoch. His analysis indicates that between two-thirds and three-quarters of voters are uncertain about their acceptability as leaders. This uncertainty is particularly pronounced among those who voted Conservative in the last two elections, with half expressing no view on either candidate. Curtice noted that both candidates are relatively unknown to the wider public, which raises questions about their ability to connect with voters. Furthermore, he highlighted a divide in popularity between the two candidates, with Badenoch being favored by Reform voters, while Jenrick is more popular among traditional Conservative voters. This division complicates the challenge of uniting the party, especially as the One Nation group, which leans more centrist, is hesitant to support either candidate. The Conservative Party's recent history of leadership instability, marked by three different prime ministers with varying ideologies, has contributed to a loss of support from traditional business and financial sectors. As the party seeks to recover, regaining the trust of these groups will be essential for its electoral success.

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