Labour Party Faces Decline in Support Among Ethnic Minorities

The Labour Party has experienced a significant drop in support from Black and Asian communities, losing nearly a third of its backing since the last general election, according to a new Ipsos poll. The party's support among ethnic minority voters fell from 64 percent in 2019 under Jeremy Corbyn to just 46 percent, marking an 18-point decline. Key issues such as poverty, pandemic-related excess deaths, and the ongoing situation in Palestine are critical factors that Labour must address to determine whether this decline is a temporary setback or a longer-term trend. The Ipsos survey, which included responses from 15,234 adults, revealed notable differences in support among various ethnic groups. Younger voters from these communities are increasingly turning to the Green Party and independent candidates, reflecting a growing disenchantment with Labour. A spokesperson for the Green Party noted that Labour's stance on issues like aid to Israel has alienated some voters, particularly younger ones who previously identified as loyal supporters. Analysis from The Independent highlighted that Labour's support remains stronger among Black voters at 68 percent compared to just 39 percent among Asian voters. The party's appeal to those of mixed ethnic backgrounds stands at 50 percent. Despite initial expectations of a landslide victory reminiscent of Tony Blair's 1997 win, the current political landscape suggests a fragmentation that complicates traditional voting patterns. Experts, including Gideon Skinner from Ipsos, emphasize that ethnic minority voters cannot be viewed as a monolithic group, as their concerns span various issues such as public services, the economy, and crime. Carla Denyer, co-leader of the Green Party, argued that Labour's perceived shortcomings on anti-racism and immigration have opened the door for her party to present itself as a viable alternative focused on inclusivity and meaningful change.