Sep 10, 2024, 12:00 AM
Sep 10, 2024, 12:00 AM

Dave McCormick reshapes Pennsylvania Senate race amid Democratic ad surge

Highlights
  • Recent polling shows Dave McCormick tied with Bob Casey in the Pennsylvania Senate race, a significant change from earlier surveys where Casey led by at least six points.
  • McCormick's support is particularly strong among older voters, blue-collar workers, and those with lower incomes, reflecting widespread dissatisfaction with the current administration.
  • The race remains competitive, with McCormick needing to address a gender gap as he leads among men while Casey has the support of female voters.
Story

Recent polling in Pennsylvania indicates a significant shift in the Senate race, with Republican candidate Dave McCormick now tied with incumbent Democrat Bob Casey. Initially, Casey held a lead of at least six points, but McCormick's campaign has gained momentum, particularly among key demographics. His support is notably strong among voters aged 45 and older, as well as blue-collar workers, where he outperforms Casey significantly. McCormick's appeal extends to non-college-educated voters, where he commands 53% support compared to Casey's 38%. This trend is even more pronounced among white voters without college degrees, where McCormick leads 61% to 38%. Additionally, he resonates with lower-income voters, particularly those earning less than $50,000 annually, where he has a 9-point advantage over Casey. The dissatisfaction with the current administration, particularly among those feeling economically marginalized, has contributed to McCormick's rising popularity. He emphasizes the struggles of Pennsylvanians living paycheck to paycheck, appealing to a broad base that includes independents and Democrats. However, the race is not without its challenges; while McCormick enjoys strong support from men, he faces a gender gap, with Casey leading among female voters. As the election approaches, McCormick's ability to mobilize his base and address the concerns of all voters will be crucial in determining the outcome of this closely contested race.

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