Kevin Hassett's predictions about Strait of Hormuz traffic fail to materialize

The Strait of Hormuz, a crucial shipping route for global oil, remains effectively closed due to ongoing conflict with Iran. National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett faced scrutiny on CNN for his previous optimistic predictions about the return of normal shipping activity. Despite claims of a forthcoming normalization, the strait's closure continues, with Iran demanding the lifting of sanctions and other conditions for reopening. As gas prices in the U.S. rise, the situation poses serious implications for the global oil market.

Kevin Hassett's predictions about Strait of Hormuz traffic fail to materialize
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Published Aug 9, 2026

Topic overview

Briefly

  • Kevin Hassett faced criticism for his inaccurate predictions about shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • The strait remains closed due to ongoing conflict and Iranian demands for the U.S.
  • The situation has significant implications for global oil supply and prices.

What happened

In the ongoing conflict involving Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route for global oil, remains effectively closed. This situation has persisted for nearly six months since President Donald Trump escalated tensions with Iran. During a live appearance on CNN's 'State of the Union,' National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett faced tough questioning from host Jake Tapper regarding his previous optimistic predictions about the return of normal shipping activity through the strait. Hassett had claimed that traffic would soon return to normal, stating he was 'bullish' about the situation. However, Tapper pointed out that the reality contradicts Hassett's assertions, as the strait remains blocked and Iran has issued sweeping demands for its reopening, including the lifting of sanctions and the release of frozen assets. The U.S. government has indicated that negotiations are ongoing, with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi mentioning that talks with Oman are nearing final stages. However, Iran has made it clear that it will not reopen the strait unless its demands are met. As of the latest reports, gas prices in the U.S. have risen significantly, with the average price per gallon reaching $4.01, compared to $3.15 a year prior. Hassett attempted to pivot the conversation by discussing a decrease in oil prices from $100 to $80 a barrel, but Tapper pressed him on the lack of substantial traffic through the strait, highlighting the disconnect between Hassett's claims and the current situation. The ongoing conflict and the blockade have significant implications for global oil supply and prices, and the failure to resolve the situation could lead to further economic repercussions.

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Updated Aug 9, 2026

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