Kamala Harris leads Democratic primary polls with 37 percent support

In the United States, a recent survey conducted from August 2 to August 4, 2026, revealed insights into the early Democratic primary landscape for the 2028 presidential election. The poll, which questioned 504 likely voters, found Kamala Harris leading with 37 percent support, significantly ahead of California Governor Gavin Newsom at 14 percent and New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 9 percent. This marks an improvement for Harris compared to a previous poll in May, where she had 34 percent support, indicating a strengthening position among potential Democratic candidates.

The significance of early polling has increased as various contenders for the upcoming presidential election begin to emerge. Harris's support is particularly strong among Black voters and younger voters, with 53 percent of those under 40 favoring her. However, her support diminishes among older voters, where Mark Kelly is preferred. This age divide could play a crucial role in the dynamics of the Democratic primary as the field evolves.

Despite her current lead, experts caution against interpreting these numbers as definitive proof of Harris's path to the nomination. No candidate has officially declared their intention to run yet, and the political landscape may shift significantly before the primaries. The poll results suggest that while Harris has a solid base of support, the depth of her appeal and the potential for challenges from other candidates remain uncertain.

Other recent polls have shown varying results, with a McLaughlin & Associates poll indicating Harris at 28 percent, Newsom at 17 percent, and Ocasio-Cortez at 10 percent. An Emerson College poll also highlighted the competitive nature of the race, with different candidates gaining traction. As the 2028 election approaches, the Democratic primary is expected to be closely contested, and Harris's current advantage may be tested as the campaign unfolds.