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JP Morgan says it cannot predict oil prices due to US-Iran war uncertainties
Investment bank JP Morgan has said it is struggling to predict oil prices due to the US-Iran war, admitting in a note to investors that "we simply don't know how to model the endgame." The bank had assumed economic red lines like oil at $100 a barrel would force a deal, but many have been crossed. Oil prices have surged above $100, and the Federal Reserve raised interest rates to combat inflation. China's large oil stockpile and shift to electric vehicles have helped ease global demand, softening price increases.

Updated Sep 19, 2026 First reported Sep 18, 2026