In the United States, President Donald Trump’s approval rating among white voters without a college degree has significantly declined, dropping from 61 percent in February 2025 to 46 percent in July 2026, according to CNN polling data. This demographic has been a crucial part of Trump's voter base, having previously supported him by a substantial margin in the 2024 election. However, the latest polling indicates that he is now underwater with this group, with 54 percent disapproving of his job performance. This shift in approval ratings is particularly concerning for Republicans as they approach the midterm elections, where Democrats are aiming to gain control of the House and Senate. The decline in support is attributed to growing dissatisfaction with the state of the economy, especially regarding inflation and the ongoing war with Iran, which have become major issues for voters. In March 2026, Trump's approval rating among this group was only slightly negative, but the recent data shows a more pronounced disapproval. Economic concerns have emerged as a significant factor, with only 37 percent of white voters without a degree believing Trump is managing the economy well, and just 31 percent approving of his handling of inflation. Despite these economic issues, Trump still maintains some support on immigration and voting rights, with 55 percent and 56 percent approval ratings, respectively. The implications of these polling numbers could be critical for the upcoming midterms, as dissatisfaction with Trump does not guarantee that these voters will switch their allegiance to Democrats. The overall approval rating of Trump will play a vital role in the midterm elections, which are often viewed as a referendum on the sitting president's party. Recent polls indicate that Democrats are currently leading by margins of 7 to 8 points, suggesting a challenging environment for Republicans as they prepare for the elections.
